Why prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often fail the average investor

There is a 19% probability that the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA will eclipse 59,000 at some point between now and the ...

Kalshi traders see roughly 50% odds of a rate hike in 2026 as Fed is split on policy

Wednesday's Fed minutes showed a divided outlook on where interest rates are headed this year. Traders on Kalshi see a 54% ...

Prediction markets see Nasdaq-100 rally cooling after AI surge

Prediction markets are signaling that the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 index (NDX) (QQQ) may have limited upside through year-end ...
The Economist

AI has taken over the stock market. The bond market is next

T HE RAPID spread of new technological infrastructure is usually accompanied by booms in bond markets. The emergence of a ...

Traders on Kalshi think the Nasdaq-100 will end 2026 above 30,000, predicting a cooler second half of the year

Speculators think the massive rally in the Nasdaq-100 since the lows following the U.S.-Iran war will be more subdued in the ...