For roughly three decades after World War II, worker pay rose almost one-for-one with productivity. As the economy grew, so ...

Jacob Shapiro is an independent geopolitical analyst who helps investors and executive teams understand how a multipolar world is reshaping markets and strategy. He provides bespoke research, private ...

Next month I will begin my 27 th year of writing this letter. The way I write, how I come up with topics, when I write have all changed over time. But one thing is consistent: when I sit down to write ...

As I sat down to start my work week, I realized that I didn’t eat a single hot dog over the holiday weekend to celebrate the ...

The Reverse Tourist Gaze Researchers at Northeastern University have a phrase for what has been flooding social media this ...

When we talk about inflation, the conversation usually centers on periods (like now) when inflation is especially high. Those are certainly problematic. But we can overlook a possibly bigger problem: ...

The Social Security Administration recently gave us their annual report with a few blockbuster footnotes. We all know that Social Security as it is currently constructed will run out of money in the ...

This week is the final recap of the 2026 Strategic Investment Conference. I have always done summaries of the SIC afterwards, but I don’t think I’ve ever taken four weeks, let alone five weeks to ...

In the summer of 1944, with the war in Europe not yet won, the United States convened 44 nations at a resort hotel in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, and wrote the rules of the postwar world. The dollar ...

Have you ever heard of Succession Risk? It occurs when key leaders of a company leave their position—whether expected or not—and a clear successor isn’t already in place. When key leaders leave, there ...